autogen/test/test_forecast.py

120 lines
4.9 KiB
Python

def test_forecast_automl_df(budget=5):
# using dataframe
import statsmodels.api as sm
data = sm.datasets.co2.load_pandas()
data = data.data
data = data['co2'].resample('MS').mean()
data = data.fillna(data.bfill())
data = data.to_frame().reset_index()
data = data.rename(columns={'index': 'ds', 'co2': 'y'})
num_samples = data.shape[0]
time_horizon = 12
split_idx = num_samples - time_horizon
X_train = data[:split_idx]
X_test = data[split_idx:]['ds'].to_frame()
y_test = data[split_idx:]['y'].to_frame()
''' import AutoML class from flaml package '''
from flaml import AutoML
automl = AutoML()
settings = {
"time_budget": budget, # total running time in seconds
"metric": 'mape', # primary metric
"task": 'forecast', # task type
"log_file_name": 'CO2_forecast.log', # flaml log file
"eval_method": "holdout",
"split_type": 'time'
}
'''The main flaml automl API'''
try:
automl.fit(dataframe=X_train, **settings, period=time_horizon, freq='M')
except ImportError:
automl.fit(dataframe=X_train, **settings, estimator_list=['arima', 'sarimax'], period=time_horizon, freq='M')
''' retrieve best config and best learner'''
print('Best ML leaner:', automl.best_estimator)
print('Best hyperparmeter config:', automl.best_config)
print(f'Best mape on validation data: {automl.best_loss}')
print(f'Training duration of best run: {automl.best_config_train_time}s')
print(automl.model.estimator)
''' pickle and save the automl object '''
import pickle
with open('automl.pkl', 'wb') as f:
pickle.dump(automl, f, pickle.HIGHEST_PROTOCOL)
''' compute predictions of testing dataset '''
y_pred = automl.predict(X_test)
print('Predicted labels', y_pred)
print('True labels', y_test)
''' compute different metric values on testing dataset'''
from flaml.ml import sklearn_metric_loss_score
print('mape', '=', sklearn_metric_loss_score('mape', y_pred, y_test))
from flaml.data import get_output_from_log
time_history, best_valid_loss_history, valid_loss_history, config_history, train_loss_history = \
get_output_from_log(filename=settings['log_file_name'], time_budget=budget)
for config in config_history:
print(config)
print(automl.prune_attr)
print(automl.max_resource)
print(automl.min_resource)
def test_forecast_automl_Xy(budget=5):
# using X_train and y_train
import statsmodels.api as sm
data = sm.datasets.co2.load_pandas()
data = data.data
data = data['co2'].resample('MS').mean()
data = data.fillna(data.bfill())
data = data.to_frame().reset_index()
num_samples = data.shape[0]
time_horizon = 12
split_idx = num_samples - time_horizon
X_train = data[:split_idx]['index'].to_frame()
y_train = data[:split_idx]['co2']
X_test = data[split_idx:]['index'].to_frame()
y_test = data[split_idx:]['co2'].to_frame()
''' import AutoML class from flaml package '''
from flaml import AutoML
automl = AutoML()
settings = {
"time_budget": budget, # total running time in seconds
"metric": 'mape', # primary metric
"task": 'forecast', # task type
"log_file_name": 'CO2_forecast.log', # flaml log file
"eval_method": "holdout",
"split_type": 'time'
}
'''The main flaml automl API'''
try:
automl.fit(X_train=X_train, y_train=y_train, **settings, period=time_horizon, freq='M')
except ImportError:
automl.fit(X_train=X_train, y_train=y_train, **settings, estimator_list=['arima', 'sarimax'], period=time_horizon, freq='M')
''' retrieve best config and best learner'''
print('Best ML leaner:', automl.best_estimator)
print('Best hyperparmeter config:', automl.best_config)
print(f'Best mape on validation data: {automl.best_loss}')
print(f'Training duration of best run: {automl.best_config_train_time}s')
print(automl.model.estimator)
''' pickle and save the automl object '''
import pickle
with open('automl.pkl', 'wb') as f:
pickle.dump(automl, f, pickle.HIGHEST_PROTOCOL)
''' compute predictions of testing dataset '''
y_pred = automl.predict(X_test)
print('Predicted labels', y_pred)
print('True labels', y_test)
''' compute different metric values on testing dataset'''
from flaml.ml import sklearn_metric_loss_score
print('mape', '=', sklearn_metric_loss_score('mape', y_pred, y_test))
from flaml.data import get_output_from_log
time_history, best_valid_loss_history, valid_loss_history, config_history, train_loss_history = \
get_output_from_log(filename=settings['log_file_name'], time_budget=budget)
for config in config_history:
print(config)
print(automl.prune_attr)
print(automl.max_resource)
print(automl.min_resource)
if __name__ == "__main__":
test_forecast_automl_df(60)
test_forecast_automl_Xy(60)