diff --git a/include/net/netfilter/nf_conntrack_expect.h b/include/net/netfilter/nf_conntrack_expect.h
index cf0d81be5a96..165e7a03b8e9 100644
--- a/include/net/netfilter/nf_conntrack_expect.h
+++ b/include/net/netfilter/nf_conntrack_expect.h
@@ -100,7 +100,7 @@ nf_ct_expect_find_get(struct net *net,
 struct nf_conntrack_expect *
 nf_ct_find_expectation(struct net *net,
 		       const struct nf_conntrack_zone *zone,
-		       const struct nf_conntrack_tuple *tuple);
+		       const struct nf_conntrack_tuple *tuple, bool unlink);
 
 void nf_ct_unlink_expect_report(struct nf_conntrack_expect *exp,
 				u32 portid, int report);
diff --git a/net/netfilter/nf_conntrack_core.c b/net/netfilter/nf_conntrack_core.c
index 992393102d5f..9f6f2e643575 100644
--- a/net/netfilter/nf_conntrack_core.c
+++ b/net/netfilter/nf_conntrack_core.c
@@ -1756,7 +1756,7 @@ init_conntrack(struct net *net, struct nf_conn *tmpl,
 	cnet = nf_ct_pernet(net);
 	if (cnet->expect_count) {
 		spin_lock_bh(&nf_conntrack_expect_lock);
-		exp = nf_ct_find_expectation(net, zone, tuple);
+		exp = nf_ct_find_expectation(net, zone, tuple, !tmpl || nf_ct_is_confirmed(tmpl));
 		if (exp) {
 			/* Welcome, Mr. Bond.  We've been expecting you... */
 			__set_bit(IPS_EXPECTED_BIT, &ct->status);
diff --git a/net/netfilter/nf_conntrack_expect.c b/net/netfilter/nf_conntrack_expect.c
index 96948e98ec53..81ca348915c9 100644
--- a/net/netfilter/nf_conntrack_expect.c
+++ b/net/netfilter/nf_conntrack_expect.c
@@ -171,7 +171,7 @@ EXPORT_SYMBOL_GPL(nf_ct_expect_find_get);
 struct nf_conntrack_expect *
 nf_ct_find_expectation(struct net *net,
 		       const struct nf_conntrack_zone *zone,
-		       const struct nf_conntrack_tuple *tuple)
+		       const struct nf_conntrack_tuple *tuple, bool unlink)
 {
 	struct nf_conntrack_net *cnet = nf_ct_pernet(net);
 	struct nf_conntrack_expect *i, *exp = NULL;
@@ -211,7 +211,7 @@ nf_ct_find_expectation(struct net *net,
 		     !refcount_inc_not_zero(&exp->master->ct_general.use)))
 		return NULL;
 
-	if (exp->flags & NF_CT_EXPECT_PERMANENT) {
+	if (exp->flags & NF_CT_EXPECT_PERMANENT || !unlink) {
 		refcount_inc(&exp->use);
 		return exp;
 	} else if (del_timer(&exp->timeout)) {
diff --git a/net/netfilter/nft_ct.c b/net/netfilter/nft_ct.c
index 38958e067aa8..e87fd4314c68 100644
--- a/net/netfilter/nft_ct.c
+++ b/net/netfilter/nft_ct.c
@@ -262,6 +262,7 @@ static void nft_ct_set_zone_eval(const struct nft_expr *expr,
 			regs->verdict.code = NF_DROP;
 			return;
 		}
+		__set_bit(IPS_CONFIRMED_BIT, &ct->status);
 	}
 
 	nf_ct_set(skb, ct, IP_CT_NEW);
@@ -368,6 +369,7 @@ static bool nft_ct_tmpl_alloc_pcpu(void)
 			return false;
 		}
 
+		__set_bit(IPS_CONFIRMED_BIT, &tmp->status);
 		per_cpu(nft_ct_pcpu_template, cpu) = tmp;
 	}